Maryland Could Have Reduced Risk of Key Bridge Collapse: NTSB

By | March 21, 2025
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The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is harshly criticizing Maryland officials for failing to conduct a risk assessment of the Francis Scott Key Bridge before it collapsed a year ago and is recommending that 30 owners of 68 bridges across 19 states conduct a vulnerability assessment to determine the risk of bridge collapse from a vessel collision.

The agency indicated that had Maryland conducted such an assessment, it could have taken steps to reduce the risk of and possibly prevented last year’s tragic Key Bridge collapse in Baltimore. In its own assessment, NTSB found that the Key Bridge was considerably above the acceptable risk threshold for essential bridges.

The federal agency warned that many of the nation’s bridges may be above the acceptable level of risk, although it stopped short of suggesting they are in danger of imminent collapse.

The report is part of the ongoing investigation into the Key Bridge collapse. The NTSB found that the Key Bridge, which collapsed after being struck by the containership Dali on March 26, 2024, was almost 30 times above the acceptable risk threshold for critical or essential bridges, according to guidance established by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, or AASHTO.

Over the last year, the NTSB said it identified 68 bridges including the Key Bridge that were designed before 1991 when the AASHTO guidance was established and do not have a current vulnerability assessment using AASHTO’s calculation.

The NTSB is recommending that these 30 bridge owners evaluate whether the bridges are above the AASHTO acceptable level of risk and implement a risk reduction plan if their bridge has a risk level above the AASHTO threshold.

Since 1994, the Federal Highway Administration, or FHWA, has required new bridges be designed to minimize the risk of a catastrophic bridge collapse from a vessel collision, given the size, speed and other characteristics of vessels navigating the channel under the bridge. The Key Bridge was built before vulnerability assessments were required by FHWA.

Neither the FHWA nor AASHTO can require a bridge owner to complete a vulnerability assessment for a bridge designed before the release of the 1991 guidelines. The MDTA had not performed, nor was it required to perform a vulnerability analysis, NTSB noted.

Maryland Assessment

However, the NTSB concluded that had the Maryland Transportation Authority (MDTA) conducted a vulnerability assessment on the Key Bridge based on recent vessel traffic, MDTA would have learned that the bridge was above the AASHTO threshold of risk for catastrophic collapse from a vessel collision before the Dali collision occurred and MDTA would have had information to “proactively reduce the bridge’s risk of a collapse and loss of lives associated with a vessel collision with the bridge.”

NTSB chair Jennifer Homendy said during its investigation her agency asked Maryland for the data needed to conduct an assessment based on current traffic volume but MDTA was unable to provide the data. NTSB had to develop the data itself. She said MDTA had still not done a vulnerability assessment based on current data as of October.

“Bridge owners need to know the risk and determine what action they need to take,” she told reporters.

MDTA said that an evaluation using AASHTO methodology was underway when the NTSB requested its results last fall and is still underway.

The MDTA said it is reviewing the NTSB recommendations but maintains the catastrophe and the tragic loss of life was the “sole fault of the DALI and the gross negligence of her owners and operators who put profits above safety.” It noted that the Key Bridge was approved and permitted by the federal government and in compliance with those permits.

Designs for New Baltimore Bridge Unveiled Almost a Year After Deadly Collapse

MDTA said it will provide an update to the NTSB within 30 days.

NTSB has alerted officials in California, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Washington and Wisconsin. Baltimore’s Bay Bridge is among those on the NTSB list.

The NTSB is also recommending that FHWA, the U.S. Coast Guard and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers establish an interdisciplinary team to assist bridge owners on evaluating and reducing the risk, which could mean infrastructure improvements or operational changes.

The Collision

The 984-foot Singapore-flagged cargo vessel Dali was transiting out of Baltimore Harbor when it experienced a loss of electrical power and propulsion and struck the southern pier supporting the central truss spans of the Key Bridge, which subsequently collapsed. Six construction crewmembers were killed and another was injured, as well as one person onboard the vessel.

The Key Bridge and its pier protection systems were subject to regular safety inspections by nationally certified bridge inspectors. The Key Bridge’s most recent inspections in March 2021 and May 2023 found the condition of the deck, the superstructure, and the substructure as being in satisfactory condition, and the pier protection was rated as in place and functioning properly

Baltimore’s Johns Hopkins Team Assessing Likelihood of Another Tragic Bridge Disaster

Researchers at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore are working on a project assessing the country’s bridges to determine the likelihood of another disaster like the one that collapsed the Key Bridge. A spokesperson for the research team told Insurance Journal that preliminary findings would be released March 24.

The state of Maryland is suing the owner and operator of the Dali cargo ship that caused the collapse of the bridge, as have the families of six workers killed in the tragedy, the city of Baltimore, small businesses and others. The owner and manager of the Dali have denied responsibility and cast blame on the state for not better protecting the bridge against ship strikes.

The U.S. Department of Justice settled claims against the cargo ship Dali’s owner Grace Ocean Private Limited and operator Synergy Marine for $103 million last October.

The NTSB’s Marine Investigation Report is available online.

Top Photo: Crane involved in salvage operation after Baltimore Key Bridge collapse.

Topics Maryland

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